Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth in the year 2032. But according to new estimates, it may have an even smaller chance of hitting the moon instead.

NASA researchers say they've found what could be the key to how life on earth began and flourished. A recently discovered asteroid, named 2024 YR4, has on average a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032.

For a few days in mid-February, headlines around the world buzzed about the potential for an asteroid to hit the Earth in 2023—specifically, asteroid 2024 YR4. The chance of this impact rose to ...

Nation/World The odds of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting earth just changed again. This time for the better Updated: Feb. 21, 2025, 1:48 p.m. | Published: Feb. 21, 2025, 1: ...

Breathe a sigh of relief! NASA has dropped the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032 to 1 in 360, just days after it became the highest-risk asteroid since records began.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 made headlines earlier this year when its probability of impacting Earth in 2032 rose as high as 3%. While an Earth impact has now been ruled out, the asteroid's story continues.

An asteroid could hit Earth in 7 years. Here's how astronomers are tracking it After weeks at the top of the CNEOS' Sentry list of objects of concern, 2024 YR4 has seen a steady drop in recent days.

As experts learn more about asteroid 2024 YR4's trajectory, they've confirmed that the odds of impact are expected to rise slightly before it's expected – and hoped – to drop to zero.

The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in 2032 have fallen to 1.5%, NASA announced Wednesday. That's down from the estimated 3.1% chance the agency said on Tuesday in a record high for an ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.

Graphic depicting the possible locations of 2024 YR4 on December 22, 2032 as of February 19, 2025. NASA JPL/CNEOS If it did hit home, the ensuing energy blast would be equivalent to 8 megatons of ...