YR4 won’t hit Earth, but a 4% chance remains for a lunar impact. ESA's upcoming NEOMIR telescope could revolutionize early ...

“The probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 will strike the Moon on 22 December 2032 is now approximately 4 percent, and this ...

It's estimated that the Rubin observatory will discover 89,000 near-Earth objects and 3.7 million main-belt asteroids. Now, getting hit by an asteroid is a really a matter of odds. Smaller objects, ...

The much more dangerous Alinda is still being pumped: in about 1,000 years, it may be poised to hit Earth. One piece of good news is that 2024 YR4 will miss in 2032, but by coming close it will be ...

A few weeks ago, Asteroid 2024 YR4 made headlines for being surprisingly likely to hit Earth in the next several years. After peaking at an impact likelihood of about 3%, additional data was ...

The astronomers told us this was the most likely outcome: a "city killer" asteroid that once had a better than 3% chance of striking Earth in 2032 is no longer a concern.

NASA has given a major update on the asteroid 2024 YR4 which had a chance of hitting Earth in 2023 - as the space agency quietly changes the odds of it hitting the planet.

The asteroid, which was first reported in December 2024 and is large enough to destroy an entire city, was initially calculated to have a 1% chance of hitting the Earth in the year 2032. By Feb. 7 ...

This week, NASA predicted Asteroid 2024 YR4 that could be traveling at 10 miles a second, had a 3.1% chance of hitting earth in 2032. On Wednesday, they backed that number off to 1.5%.

Almost. According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid’s current chance of hitting the planet in 2032 is 0.28%, or a 1-in-360 shot.

UPDATE Feb. 24, 2025: With new observations over the weekend, the odds of 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 have declined to 0.0039 percent — effectively eliminating concerns about that encounter ...

Credit: ATLAS/NASA/Cover Images This footage shows the asteroid that could cause havoc by striking the Earth in 2032. Currently, asteroid 2024 YR4 has a very small chance of impacting Earth on Dec ...