I'll certainly say the model consensus and the statistical analysis as of today certainly suggests that Erin will recurve out and not impact the United States. The key though is to make sure the Azores high does not trend stronger/farther west in future model runs. If it does, it could lead to a later "curving" of Erin. Not something I would say is likely to happen, but more of a "well, what can go wrong" scenario. | Mike Thomas Fox 5
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